Comparative Study on Energy Consumption in the Asian Landlocked Countries
Comparative Study on Energy Consumption in the Asian Landlocked Countries
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DOI：
10.1088/1755-1315/294/1/012084
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发表时间：
2019-08
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
K. Fukuyo;N. Hirohata
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
K. Fukuyo;N. Hirohata
本文着重于亚洲内陆国家：老挝（老挝人民民主共和国）和尼泊尔的住宅能源消费的现状和未来。虽然老挝和尼泊尔被列为最不发达国家，在地理和社会经济特征方面有许多相似之处，但能源使用，特别是电力使用，却有很大的不同。2016年，老挝和尼泊尔的居民生活用电量（年人均）分别为256.8kWh和79.5kWh。回归分析和格兰杰因果关系检验表明，经济增长与居民生活用电量之间存在定量的因果关系。因此，电力消费的差异可以通过他们的经济差距来说明。此外，如果尼泊尔的人均GDP和居民用电量之间的线性关系在未来多年持续下去，那么当尼泊尔的经济发展水平达到老挝的水平时，尼泊尔的居民用电量就可以赶上老挝。然而，仔细考虑一下，就会注意到尼泊尔的人均发电能力远远落后于老挝。装机容量的限制可能会在不久的将来抑制尼泊尔家用电器拥有量和居民用电量的增长，尽管尼泊尔的电力供应量很高，而且水资源丰富。
This paper focuses on the present and future of the residential energy consumption in the Asian landlocked countries: Laos (Lao PDR) and Nepal. Although Laos and Nepal are classified as the least developed countries (LDCs) and share many similarities in terms of geographical and socio-economic features, energy use, especially electricity use, is very different. In 2016, the residential electricity consumption (per capita per annum) of Laos and Nepal are 256.8kWh and 79.5kWh, respectively. The regression analysis and the Granger causality test show that there is quantitative and causal relationship between the economic growth and residential electricity consumption. The difference in the electricity consumption is thus able to be illustrated by their economic disparity. And moreover, if the linear relationship between the per capita GDP and residential electricity consumption continues in Nepal for many years to come, Nepal can catch up with Laos in terms of residential electricity use when the level of economic development reaches to that of Laos. However, a detailed consideration draws attention to the fact that Nepal is way behind in the electricity generation capacity per capita as compared with Laos. The limitation of installed capacity may suppress the growth of ownership of home appliances and the residential electricity use in Nepal in the near future despite of the high access to electricity and their abundant water resources.