Pulse pressure and risk for myocardial infarction and heart failure in the elderly
Pulse pressure and risk for myocardial infarction and heart failure in the elderly
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DOI:
10.1016/s0735-1097(00)00687-2
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发表时间:
2000-07-01
影响因子:
24
通讯作者:
Krumholz, HM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Vaccarino, V;Holford, TR;Krumholz, HM
OBJECTIVES We sought to determine whether pulse pressure (PP), a measure of arterial stiffness, is an independent predictor of the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD), congestive heart failure (CHF) and overall mortality among community-dwelling elderly.BACKGROUND Current hypertension guidelines classify cardiovascular risk on the basis of elevated systolic blood pressure (SBP) or diastolic blood pressure (DBP) without considering their combined effects. Recent studies suggest that PP is a strong predictor of cardiovascular end points, but few data are available among community elderly.METHODS The study sample included 2,152 individuals age greater than or equal to 65 years, who were participants in the Established Populations for Epidemiologic Study of the Elderly program, free of CHD and CHF at baseline and still alive at one rear after enrollment. Blood pressure was measured at baseline. Incidence of CHD, incidence of CHF and total mortality were monitored in the following 10 years.RESULTS There were 328 incident CHD events, 224 incident CHF events and 1,046 persons who died of any cause. Pulse pressure showed a strong and linear relationship with each end point. After adjusting for demographics, comorbidity and CHD risk factors, a 10-mm Hg increment in PP was associated with a 12% increase in CHD risk (95% confidence interval [CI], 2% to 22%), a 14% increase in CHF risk (95% CI, 5% to 24%), and a 6% increase in overall mortality (95% CI, 0% to 12%). While SEP and mean arterial pressure (MAP) also showed positive associations with the end points, PP yielded the highest likelihood ratio chi-square. When PP was entered in the model in conjunction with other blood pressure parameters (SBP, DBP, MAP or hypertension stage, respectively), the association remained positive for PP but became negative for the other blood pressure variables. The effect of PP persisted after adjusting for current medication use and was present in normotensive individuals and individuals with isolated systolic hypertension but not in individuals with diastolic hypertension.CONCLUSION Elevated PP is a powerful independent predictor of cardiovascular end points in the elderly. J Am Coil Cardiol 2000;36:130-8) (C) 2000 by the American College of Cardiology.