Targeting Escalation in Reported Domestic Abuse: Evidence From 36,000 Callouts
Targeting Escalation in Reported Domestic Abuse: Evidence From 36,000 Callouts
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DOI：
10.1177/1057567715574382
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发表时间：
2015-03-01
影响因子：
1.6
通讯作者：
Ariel, Barak
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Bland, Matthew;Ariel, Barak
处理家庭虐待问题的从业人员经常声称，随着时间的推移，问题的严重性和频率都在上升。我们在2009年至2014年期间向英格兰东部萨福克郡警察局报告的36，000份家庭虐待记录中测试了这些说法。使用剑桥犯罪伤害指数作为伤害严重程度的衡量标准，我们发现大多数案件没有升级; 76%的唯一受害者和罪犯单位（二人组）没有重复呼叫。在报警5次或以上的727对夫妇队列中，没有证据表明伤害严重度在统计学上显著上升，但有一些证据表明频率增加。不到2%的二人组占所有家庭虐待伤害的80%，但在这些最高伤害的二人组中，有一半以上没有事先与警方就家庭虐待进行接触。这些发现表明，在预测严重伤害方面，需要更多的非警察机构参与。
Practitioners dealing with domestic abuse often claim that the problem escalates over time in both seriousness and frequency. We tested those claims on 36,000 police records of domestic abuse between 2009 and 2014 reported to Suffolk Constabulary in the east of England. Using the Cambridge Crime Harm Index as the measure of harm severity, we found no escalation in the majority of cases; 76% of all unique victim and offender units (dyads) had zero repeat calls. Among the cohort of 727 dyads who called police 5 or more times, there was no evidence for statistically significant escalating harm severity, but some evidence of increasing frequency. Less than 2% of dyads accounted for 80% of all domestic abuse harm, but in over half of these highest harm dyads, there had been no prior contact with police regarding domestic abuse. These findings suggest the need for more engagement of nonpolice agencies in predicting serious harm.