National Assessment Report of Climate Change (I): Climate change in China and its future trend
National Assessment Report of Climate Change (I): Climate change in China and its future trend
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DOI：
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发表时间：
2006
影响因子：
7.4
通讯作者：
Zhang De
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Zhang De
中国的气候变化与全球气候变化有很大的相似性，但也存在显著的差异。在全球变暖的背景下，在过去的100年里，年平均地表温度显著上升，温度上升幅度略大于地球仪。近50年和100年降水量变化趋势不明显，但自1956年以来呈微弱的增加趋势。主要极端天气气候事件的发生频率和强度也发生了显著变化。研究表明，中国CO2排放量持续增加，温室气体产生的正辐射强迫的总和是气候变暖的原因。对21世纪气候变化的预测表明，在未来20-100年内，地表温度将继续升高，降水也有增加的趋势。
The climate change in China shows a considerable similarity to the global change, however, there still exist significant differences between them. In the context of the global warming, the annual mean surface temperature has significantly increased during the past 100 years, with slightly greater magnitude of temperature increase than the globe . The precipitation trends during the last 50 and 100 years are not obvious ,but since 1956 it has assumed a weak increasing trend. The frequency and intensity of main extreme weather and climate events have also assumed significant change. The research has shown that the CO2 emission in China has continuously increased and the sum of positive radiative forcings produced by greenhouse gases is responsible for climate warming. The projection of climate change for the 21 st century has indicated that in the future 20-100 years, the surface temperature will continue to increase and precipitation also has an increasing trend.