Forecasting for Inventory Control: An Example of When “Simple” Means “Better”

Forecasting for Inventory Control: An Example of When “Simple” Means “Better”
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库存控制预测:“简单”意味着“更好”的示例

DOI:
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发表时间:
1986
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Fraser Dunford
Fraser Dunford
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Rochelle Cohen;Fraser Dunford

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马尼托巴电话系统(MTS)希望预测电话需求,以控制其电话中心的库存。虽然这似乎是一个非常简单的问题,但由于数据困难,无法使用大多数常见的预测模型。尽管如此,使用一个非常简单的预测模型导致库存减少了45%。
The Manitoba Telephone System (MTS) wanted to forecast demand for telephones in order to control the inventory in their phone centers. Although this appears to be a very straightforward problem, data difficulties made it impossible to use most of the common forecasting models. Nevertheless, the use of a very simple forecasting model resulted in an inventory reduction of 45 percent.