Cold Feet
Cold Feet
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临阵退缩
DOI：
10.1093/nq/s12-xi.242.451a
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发表时间：
1887
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Igor Kopylov
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Larry G. Epstein;Igor Kopylov;Larry G. Epstein;Igor Kopylov
当人们接近“关键时刻”时，他们往往会对自己的前景失去信心。一个公理模型，这样的个人提供。该模型适应和扩展（通过放松独立公理）居尔和Pesendorfer的诱惑和自我控制的模型，以捕捉一个人谁改变她的信念，以便变得更加悲观的回报时间的做法。在该模型的一个变体中，个体在事后阶段变得更加乐观，以便对她的可用选项感觉更好。
Individuals often lose confidence in their prospects as they approach the ‘moment of truth.’ An axiomatic model of such individuals is provided. The model adapts and extends (by relaxing the Independence axiom) Gul and Pesendorfer’s model of temptation and self-control to capture an individual who changes her beliefs so as to become more pessimistic as payoff time approaches. In a variation of the model, the individual becomes more optimistic at an ex post stage in order to feel better about her available options.