Middle childhood antecedents to progressions in male adolescent substance use: An ecological analysis of risk and protection
Middle childhood antecedents to progressions in male adolescent substance use: An ecological analysis of risk and protection
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DOI：
10.1177/0743558499142003
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发表时间：
1999-04-01
影响因子：
2
通讯作者：
Yoerger, K
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Dishion, TJ;Capaldi, DM;Yoerger, K
在15至16岁之前开始使用药物是各种精神健康问题和最终药物滥用的一个明显风险因素。使用多方法，多代理措施的儿童，家庭和同龄人在9至10岁的前因，我们研究了纵向影响的风险样本的206名男孩。事件历史分析被用来检查的前因模式的酒精和烟草的使用，以及与大麻的实验之间的年龄11和16单变量模型显示，在4年级的大多数结构是男孩的早期物质使用的预后。多变量事件历史模型阐明了与烟草、酒精和大麻使用相关的风险和保护结构。然而，预测变量之间的相互关系水平表明，家庭，同伴和儿童的特点是不可分割的发展生态内连接。一个结构方程预测模型提出了一个更高阶的结构，“儿童风险结构”。"
Initiation of substance use before the age of 15 to 16 is a distinct risk factor for a variety of mental health problems and eventual drug abuse. Using multimethod, multi-agent measures of child, family, and peer antecedents at age 9 to 10 we studied the longitudinal effects in an at-risk sample of 206 boys. Event history analysis was used to examine the antecedents to patterned alcohol and tobacco use as well as experimentation with marijuana between ages 11 and 16 Univariate models revealed that at Grade 4 most constructs were prognostic of boys' early substance use. Multivariate event history models clarified the risk and protective structure associated with tobacco, alcohol, and marijuana use. The level of intercorrelation among the predictor variables, however; suggested that family, peer and child characteristics were inextricably connected within an ecology of development. A structural equation prediction model suggested a higher order construct, "childhood risk structure."