RISK ANALYSIS OF HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING CONSTRUCTIONS
RISK ANALYSIS OF HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING CONSTRUCTIONS
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DOI：
10.30638/eemj.2013.213
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发表时间：
2013
影响因子：
1.1
通讯作者：
Wen‐Gen Liao;Shibua Lu;Ji-hong Qu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Wen‐Gen Liao;Shibua Lu;Ji-hong Qu
任何水利工程建设项目都是一个投资大、建设周期长、内部结构复杂、参与方众多的复杂开放系统，受时间、资源、环境等条件的限制。运用层次分析法的原理和方法，建立了农业水利工程建设的三层结构体系，并通过蒙特卡洛模拟对某农业水利工程建设进行了风险分析。结果表明，该农业水利工程建设的风险主要存在于坝体变形、坝体渗漏和坝基渗漏入渗等方面。因此，对具有社会效益和生态效益的农业水利工程建设，应采取加强坝体防渗和变形的加固措施，以降低工程风险。
Any hydraulic engineering construction project is a complex open system with large investment, long construction period, complex internal structure and numerous participants, subject to restrictions of time, resource, environment and other conditions. In this paper, the analytic hierarchy process principle and method were used to establish three-layer structure system of agricultural hydraulic engineering construction, while risks of some agricultural hydraulic engineering construction were analyzed through Monte Carlo simulation. The results show that risks of this agricultural hydraulic engineering construction mainly exist in dam body deformation, dam body leakage and dam foundation leakage and infiltration. Therefore, reinforcement measures of strengthening dam body leakage prevention and deformation shall be taken for agricultural hydraulic engineering construction entailing social and ecological benefits, in order to reduce the engineering risks.