Valuing Climate Change Effects Upon UK Agricultural GHG Emissions: Spatial Analysis of a Regulating Ecosystem Service
Valuing Climate Change Effects Upon UK Agricultural GHG Emissions: Spatial Analysis of a Regulating Ecosystem Service
复制标题
DOI：
10.1007/s10640-013-9661-z
复制
发表时间：
2014-02-01
影响因子：
5.9
通讯作者：
Bateman, Ian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Abson, David J.;Termansen, Mette;Bateman, Ian
本文提供的物理和经济价值的温室气体（GHG）排放量的变化，预计将产生气候变化引起的转变，在英国农业土地利用在2004-2060年期间的估计。在物理条件下，显着的区域差异，预计农业温室气体排放的强度增加在高地北部和西部地区的英国和减少在低地南部和东部的国家。总的来说，这意味着排放物的实际数量相对略有增加。然而，这种排放的预期边际值的迅速上升将这些趋势转化为所审议期间经济成本的大幅增加。
This article provides estimates of the physical and economic value of changes in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions projected to arise from climate change induced shifts in UK agricultural land use during the period 2004-2060. In physical terms, significant regional differences are predicted with the intensity of agricultural GHG emissions increasing in the upland north and western parts of the UK and decreasing in the lowland south and east of the country. Overall these imply relative modest increases in the physical quantity of emissions. However, rapid rises in the expected marginal value of such emissions translate these trends into major increases in their economic costs over the period considered.