Can knowledge of the state of the stratosphere be used to improve statistical forecasts of the troposphere?
Can knowledge of the state of the stratosphere be used to improve statistical forecasts of the troposphere?
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DOI：
10.1256/qj.02.232
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发表时间：
2003-10
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
A. Charlton;A. O'Neill;D. Stephenson;W. Lahoz;M. Baldwin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Charlton;A. O'Neill;D. Stephenson;W. Lahoz;M. Baldwin
最近对平流层和对流层中的北极涛动（AO）的分析表明，可以从平流层AO的状态获得对流层AO状态的可预测性。然而，大部分研究都是纯粹定性的。我们对长 AO 振幅数据集进行了更彻底的统计分析，旨在确定这种联系的大小。
Recent analysis of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) in the stratosphere and troposphere has suggested that predictability of the state of the tropospheric AO may be obtained from the state of the stratospheric AO. However, much of this research has been of a purely qualitative nature. We present a more thorough statistical analysis of a long AO amplitude dataset which seeks to establish the magnitude of such a link.