The Effect of Minimum Wages on Adolescent Fertility: A Nationwide Analysis
The Effect of Minimum Wages on Adolescent Fertility: A Nationwide Analysis
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DOI：
10.2105/ajph.2016.303604
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发表时间：
2017-03-01
影响因子：
12.7
通讯作者：
Bullinger, Lindsey Rose
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Bullinger, Lindsey Rose
目标。调查最低工资法对美国青少年生育率的影响。方法。我使用了双重差分法和从 2003 年到 2014 年在州一级每季度测量的生命统计数据。所有模型都包括州协变量、州和季度年固定效应以及州特定季度年非线性时间趋势，这些结果提供了最低工资对青少年出生率影响的合理因果估计。结果。最低工资每增加 1 美元，青少年生育率就会降低约 2%。这些影响是由非西班牙裔白人和西班牙裔青少年驱动的。结论。在全国范围内，将最低工资提高 1 美元可能会导致每年减少大约 5000 名青少年出生。
Objectives. To investigate the effect of minimum wage laws on adolescent birth rates in the United States.Methods. I used a difference-in-differences approach and vital statistics data measured quarterly at the state level from 2003 to 2014. All models included state covariates, state and quarter-year fixed effects, and state-specific quarter-year nonlinear time trends, which provided plausibly causal estimates of the effect of minimum wage on adolescent birth rates.Results. A $ 1 increase in minimum wage reduces adolescent birth rates by about 2%. The effects are driven by non-Hispanic White and Hispanic adolescents.Conclusions. Nationwide, increasing minimum wages by $ 1 would likely result in roughly 5000 fewer adolescent births annually.