How do companies envisage the future? Functional foresight approaches
How do companies envisage the future? Functional foresight approaches
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企业如何展望未来？
DOI：
10.1515/emj-2017-0028
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发表时间：
2017
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Judit Gáspár
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
A. Kononiuk;A. Sacio;Judit Gáspár
摘要本文的主要目的是介绍对在代表四种公司类型的选定公司中执行的前瞻项目进行的方法分析的结果的综合：中小企业（SME），非营利组织，国际公司和咨询公司，以及在组织内实施前瞻研究的实用方法。实证部分的研究是基于定性的方法。采用多案例研究方法。研究对象是十六家有前瞻性研究经验的公司。本文的第一部分概述了企业预见的定义，并分析了影响大型跨国公司和中小企业进行预见的背景。在前瞻研究理论领域，研究表明，前瞻引入的动机不同，开展活动的团队的组织结构和使用的方法也不同。在实践的角度来看，研究和作者提出的详细的功能前瞻性方法可能是有价值的中小企业谁考虑实施前瞻性研究到他们的战略规划过程。
Abstract The main aim of the paper is to present the synthesis of the results of methodological analysis conducted on examples of foresight projects executed in chosen companies representing four companies type: small and medium-sized enterprise (SME), nonprofit- organization, international corporations and consulting companies as well as to posit functional approach for the implementation of foresight research within organizations. The empirical part of the study is based on the qualitative approach. A multiple case study methodology is employed. The research objects are sixteen companies experienced in foresight research. The first part of the paper gives an overview of definitions of corporate foresight and the analysis of background that have influence on the conducting of foresight in large multinational companies on one side and SMEs on the other side. In the field of the theory of foresight research, the study demonstrates that there are different motivations for foresight introduction as well as different organizational structure of teams conducting the activities and the approaches that they use. In the practical perspective, the study and a detailed functional foresight approach proposed by authors could be valuable for SMEs who consider implementing foresight research into their strategic planning processes.