Mobilization, cost of voting and turnout: a natural randomized experiment with double elections
Mobilization, cost of voting and turnout: a natural randomized experiment with double elections
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DOI：
10.1007/s11127-014-0212-0
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发表时间：
2015-01-01
期刊：
影响因子：
1.6
通讯作者：
Francois, Abel
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fauvelle-Aymar, Christine;Francois, Abel
本文利用法国地方选举的一个特殊性来检验动员因素和投票成本对选举投票率的影响。在地方选举中，一半选区必须在一次选举（地区选举）中投票，而另一半选区则投两次票（省选举和地区选举）。由于这两类选民是随机分布的，这种情况提供了自然随机实验的条件。通过比较这两类选区的投票率，我们能够以一种特别有力的方式评估在双重投票的情况下，动员活动和投票成本对投票率的重大影响。我们估计，在国家一级增加选举对投票率的平均影响约为4个百分点，但在地方一级，这种影响要高得多。
This article uses a peculiarity of French local elections to test the influence of mobilization factors and the cost of voting on electoral turnout. At local elections, half of the constituencies have to vote in a single election (regional elections), whereas the other half cast two ballots (a departmental election and a regional election). Since these two categories of constituencies are distributed randomly, this context provides the conditions of a natural randomized experiment. Comparison of the turnout rates in both types of constituencies allows us to assess in a particularly robust way the significant impacts of mobilization activities and of the cost of voting on turnout in the context of double ballots. We estimate the average impact of an additional election at the national level on turnout to be around four percentage points, but this impact is much higher at the local level.