Habitual Voting and Behavioral Turnout
Habitual Voting and Behavioral Turnout
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习惯性投票和行为投票率
DOI：
10.1111/j.1468-2508.2006.00410.x
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发表时间：
2006
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
J. Fowler
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
J. Fowler
Bendor，Diermeier，and Ting（2003）提出了一种行为替代投票率的理性选择模型。然而，他们对个人调整投票概率的方式所做的假设使他们的模型偏向于他们的主要结果，即在大规模人群中的显著投票率。此外，这一假设导致个人参与临时投票（有时人们投票，有时他们弃权）。这一结果与大量的文献不符，这些文献表明大多数人参与习惯性投票（他们总是投票或总是弃权）。我开发了一个替代模型，以显示如何反馈的概率调整机制影响的行为模型。没有反馈的这个模型的版本产生了高投票率和习惯性投票。
Bendor, Diermeier, and Ting (2003) develop a behavioral alternative to rational choice models of turnout. However, the assumption they make about the way individuals adjust their probability of voting biases their model towards their main result of significant turnout in large populations. Moreover, the assumption causes individuals to engage in casual voting (sometimes people vote and sometimes they abstain). This result is at odds with a substantial literature that indicates most people engage in habitual voting (they either always vote or always abstain). I develop an alternative model to show how feedback in the probability adjustment mechanism affects the behavioral model. The version of this model without feedback yields both high turnout and habitual voting.