Ambiguity in portfolio selection

Ambiguity in portfolio selection
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DOI:
10.1080/14697680701455410
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发表时间:
2007-08-01
影响因子:
1.3
通讯作者:
Wozabal, David
Wozabal, David
中科院分区:
经济学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Pflug, Georg;Wozabal, David

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在本文中,我们考虑的问题,找到最优的投资组合的情况下,潜在的概率模型是不完全已知的。为了鲁棒性,应用最小化方法,该方法使用概率分布的“置信集”。该方法显示了回报,风险和鲁棒性之间的权衡,鉴于模型的模糊性。因此,可以确定模型中信息的货币价值。
In this paper, we consider the problem of finding optimal portfolios in cases when the underlying probability model is not perfectly known. For the sake of robustness, a maximin approach is applied which uses a 'confidence set' for the probability distribution. The approach shows the tradeoff between return, risk and robustness in view of the model ambiguity. As a consequence, a monetary value of information in the model can be determined.