The Precautionary Principle as a Basis for Decision Making
The Precautionary Principle as a Basis for Decision Making
复制标题
作为决策基础的预防原则
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2005
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
C. Sunstein
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
C. Sunstein
在未来几十年中，越来越受欢迎的预防原则可能会对世界各地的政策产生重大影响。应用这一原则可能会导致决策的巨大变化。可能的应用包括气候变化，转基因食品，核能，国土安全，新的药物疗法，甚至战争。我们认为，预防原则并不能帮助个人或国家在一个非武断的方式作出困难的选择。如果认真对待，它可能会使人瘫痪，根本不提供方向。相比之下，平衡成本与收益可以为做出困难决策的原则性方法提供基础。
Over the coming decades, the increasingly popular precautionary principle is likely to have a significant impact on policies all over the world. Applying this principle could lead to dramatic changes in decision making. Possible applications include climate change, genetically modified food, nuclear power, homeland security, new drug therapies, and even war.We argue that the precautionary principle does not help individuals or nations make difficult choices in a non-arbitrary way. Taken seriously, it can be paralyzing, providing no direction at all. In contrast, balancing costs against benefits can offer the foundation of a principled approach for making difficult decisions.