Risk evaluation and games in mine warfare considering shipcounter effects
Risk evaluation and games in mine warfare considering shipcounter effects
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DOI：
10.1016/j.ejor.2018.01.030
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发表时间：
2018-07
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Kazuki Sakai;R. Hohzaki;Emiko Fukuda;Y. Sakuma
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文献类型：
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作者：
Kazuki Sakai;R. Hohzaki;Emiko Fukuda;Y. Sakuma
地雷被认为具有适当的成本效益，因为便宜的武器可以防止对手在相对较长的时间内自由地在雷区从事活动。水雷战可以看作是雷场规划者与反水雷部队之间的战斗。雷场规划人员为影响雷配备了反地雷措施（MCCM），这增加了清除它们的难度。其中一种导弹控制和协调模块是一个水雷测船器，它提供了一个水雷引爆引信，在水雷传感器探测到船只后有一段时间延迟引爆。在本文中，我们开发了一个数学模型的MCM行动对分散的海军地雷与船舶计数器和分析MW之间的雷区规划和MCM部队的双边战争游戏。反水雷部队必须在猎雷或扫雷行动之间做出明智的选择，因为根据反水雷行动的不同，船只数量对清除水雷或对航道中通过的民用船只的损害风险有不同的影响。首先，我们评估狩猎和清扫考虑地雷船数的表现，第二，我们认为一个简单的游戏与雷场规划者和MCM部队作为球员和分析理性的策略，这些决策者在MW。
Mines are believed to have suitable cost performance because cheap weapons prevent opponents from freely engaging in activity in mined areas for a comparatively long time. Mine warfare (MW) can be regarded as combat between a minefield planner and mine countermeasure (MCM) forces. The minefield planner equips influence mines with mine counter-countermeasures (MCCMs), which increase the difficulty of their removal. One of the MCCMs is a mine shipcounter, which provides a mine detonation fuse that triggers with some delay after the mine sensor detects vessels. In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of the MCM operation against scattered naval mines with shipcounters and analyze MW as a two-sided warfare game between the minefield planner and the MCM forces. The MCM forces must make a clever choice between mine-hunting or sweeping operations because, depending on the MCM operations, the shipcount has different effects on the removal of mines or on the damage risk to civilian ships transiting in a channel. First, we evaluate the performances of hunting and sweeping considering the mine shipcount; second, we consider a simple game with the minefield planner and the MCM forces as players and analyze rational strategies for these decision makers in MW.