FAMILY LIMITATION AND FERTILITY TRANSITION - EVIDENCE FROM AGE PATTERNS OF FERTILITY IN EUROPE AND ASIA
FAMILY LIMITATION AND FERTILITY TRANSITION - EVIDENCE FROM AGE PATTERNS OF FERTILITY IN EUROPE AND ASIA
复制标题
DOI：
10.1080/00324728.1977.10410428
复制
发表时间：
1977-01-01
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
KNODEL, J
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
KNODEL, J
本文分析了现代亚洲和历史上欧洲婚姻生育水平和下降的年龄模式，以回答两个问题。首先，在系统性生育率下降之前，这两个地区的婚姻生育率年龄模式与自然生育率年龄模式的一致程度如何？第二，欧洲过去经历的生育率转变的年龄模式与一些亚洲人口目前生育率下降的年龄模式有多大相似性？这些答案对于理解生育率转变具有重要意义。他们认为，现代家庭的限制（即，在欧洲和亚洲，在婚姻生育率长期下降之前，基本上不存在针对特定胎次的生育控制。证据表明，一旦限制家庭的做法开始在更广泛的人口阶层中传播，它似乎几乎不可避免地增加，直到它成为一种共同的行为规范。在这方面，现代生育率的转变似乎是创新行为传播的结果，不能简单地将其视为基于先前建立的行为机制对新的社会经济环境的调整。
The age patterns of marital fertility levels and decline in modern Asia and historical Europe are analyzed in order to answer 2 questions. First, how closely do the age patterns of marital fertility in both areas prior to a systematic fertility decline conform to the age pattern of natural fertility? Second, and how similar are the age patterns of the fertility transition experienced in Europe in the past, and the age pattern of fertility decline now under way in a number of Asian populations? The answers have important implications for an understanding of the fertility transition. They suggest that modern family limitation (i.e., parity-specific fertility control) was largely absent prior to a secular decline in marital fertility in both Europe and Asia. The evidence indicates that once the practice of family limitation starts to spread among the broader strata of the population, it seems almost inevitably to increase until it becomes a common behavioral norm. In this respect, the modern fertility transition appears to result from the spread of innovative behavior and cannot be viewed simply as an adjustment to new socio-economic circumstances based on previously established behavioral mechanisms.