A blood pressure genetic risk score is a significant predictor of incident cardiovascular events in 32,669 individuals.
A blood pressure genetic risk score is a significant predictor of incident cardiovascular events in 32,669 individuals.
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DOI:
10.1161/hypertensionaha.111.00649
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发表时间:
2013-05
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Newton-Cheh C
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Havulinna AS;Kettunen J;Ukkola O;Osmond C;Eriksson JG;Kesäniemi YA;Jula A;Peltonen L;Kontula K;Salomaa V;Newton-Cheh C
Recent genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified genetic variants associated with blood pressure (BP). We investigated whether genetic risk scores (GRSs) constructed of these variants would predict incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. We genotyped 32 common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in several Finnish cohorts, with up to 32,669 individuals after exclusion of prevalent CVD cases. The median follow-up was 9.8 years, during which 2,295 incident CVD events occurred. We created GRSs separately for systolic (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) by multiplying the risk allele count of each SNP by the effect size estimated in published GWASs. We performed Cox regression analyses with and without adjustment for clinical factors including BP at baseline in each cohort. The results were combined by inverse variance-weighted fixed-effects meta-analysis. The GRSs were strongly associated with SBP and DBP and baseline hypertension (all p<10−62). Hazard ratios comparing the highest quintiles of SBP and DBP genetic risk scores with the lowest quintiles after adjustment for age, age squared and sex, were 1.25 (1.07–1.46, p = 0.006) and 1.23 (1.05–1.43, p = 0.01), respectively, for incident coronary heart disease; 1.24 (1.01–1.53, p = 0.04) and 1.35 (1.09–1.66, p = 0.005) for incident stroke; and 1.23 (1.08–1.40, p = 2×10−6) and 1.26 (1.11–1.44, p = 5×10−4) for composite CVD. In conclusion, BP findings from GWASs are strongly replicated. GRSs comprised of bona fide BP SNPs predicted cardiovascular disease risk, consistent with a life-long effect on BP of these variants collectively.