Housing prices and son preference: Evidence from China's housing reform
Housing prices and son preference: Evidence from China's housing reform
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房价与儿子偏好：来自中国住房改革的证据
DOI：
10.1111/ecot.12306
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发表时间：
2021-09-30
影响因子：
0.9
通讯作者：
Zhang，Junsen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Guo，Rufei;Wang，Qian;Zhang，Junsen
高房价会减少对儿子的需求吗？由于中国父母需要为儿子的婚姻购买住房，高房价增加了儿子相对于女儿的成本。我们利用中国在20世纪90年代的住房改革作为一个自然的实验，以确定住房价格对儿子需求的影响。我们发现，房价对第一胎生男孩的概率没有影响。高房价降低了第二胎生男孩的概率，特别是当第一胎是女儿时。房价上涨10%，二胎生儿子的概率降低0.78个百分点。当使用改革后时期的汇总县队列数据时，结果仍然稳健。
Do high housing prices reduce the demand for sons? As Chinese parents need to acquire houses for their sons’ marriage, high housing prices increase the cost of sons relative to daughters. We exploit China's housing reform in the 1990s as a natural experiment to identify the effect of housing prices on demand for sons. We find that housing prices have no effect on the probability of having a son at the first birth. High housing prices reduce the probability of having a son at the second birth, especially when the first‐born is a daughter. A 10% increase in housing prices reduces the probability of having a son at the second birth by 0.78 percentage points. The findings remain robust when using aggregate prefecture‐cohort data for the post‐reform period.