InterSpread Plus: a spatial and stochastic simulation model of disease in animal populations
InterSpread Plus: a spatial and stochastic simulation model of disease in animal populations
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DOI：
10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.08.015
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发表时间：
2013-04-01
影响因子：
2.6
通讯作者：
Morris, R. S.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Stevenson, M. A.;Sanson, R. L.;Morris, R. S.
我们描述了空间上明确的，疾病传播的随机模拟模型，InterSpread Plus，在其流行病学框架，操作和使用模式。描述了模型所需的输入数据、模拟接触和感染传播的方法以及模拟疾病控制措施的方法。使用InterSpread Plus进行疾病模拟建模所必需的数据和参数与非必需的数据和参数进行了区分，并建议使用此工具模拟疾病流行的合理方法是从核心数据和参数开始，如果模拟练习的具体要求需要，则增加额外的复杂性层。我们建议，作为流行病应急规划的一部分制定，以便决策者熟悉模型输出和假设，并能够很好地评估其优势和劣势，以便在危机时期做出明智的决策。(C)2012爱思唯尔有限公司版权所有。
We describe the spatially explicit, stochastic simulation model of disease spread, InterSpread Plus, in terms of its epidemiological framework, operation, and mode of use. The input data required by the model, the method for simulating contact and infection spread, and methods for simulating disease control measures are described. Data and parameters that are essential for disease simulation modelling using InterSpread Plus are distinguished from those that are non-essential, and it is suggested that a rational approach to simulating disease epidemics using this tool is to start with core data and parameters, adding additional layers of complexity if and when the specific requirements of the simulation exercise require it.We recommend that simulation models of disease are best developed as part of epidemic contingency planning so decision makers are familiar with model outputs and assumptions and are well-positioned to evaluate their strengths and weaknesses to make informed decisions in times of crisis. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.