Heatwaves: An invisible risk in UK policy and research

Heatwaves: An invisible risk in UK policy and research
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DOI:
10.1016/j.envsci.2020.10.021
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发表时间:
2021-02-01
影响因子:
6
通讯作者:
Cloke, Hannah L.
Cloke, Hannah L.
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Brimicombe, Chloe;Porter, James J.;Cloke, Hannah L.

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2019年,一场热浪-一种不同寻常的长时间高温天气-打破了英国在2003年创下的38.7摄氏度的最高纪录。令人担忧的是,2019年夏季,这导致892人多死。随着英国热浪的强度和频率预计将增加,预计到2070年夏季气温将上升5摄氏度,迫切需要采取行动来准备和适应现在和未来的变化。然而,目前仍不清楚需要采取什么行动,以及需要由谁采取行动。作为回应,对英国热浪同行评议的出版物进行了系统的文献审查,包括关键词标准(返回的论文总数=183篇),以了解已经吸取了哪些教训,以及下一步需要采取什么行动。我们的研究表明,在英国,热浪在很大程度上仍然是一个看不见的风险。英国居民应该做什么,做出改变所需的支持,以及他们实施这些改变的能力,往往缺乏沟通。反过来,存在一种固有的偏见,即研究过于狭隘地关注卫生和建筑部门,而不是农业等其他关键部门。因此,英国政府有必要采取更多行动和发挥更大的领导作用来解决这一问题。
In 2019, a heatwave - an unusual extended period of hot weather - broke the UK's highest recorded temperature of 38.7 degrees C set in 2003. Of concern is that for summer 2019, this resulted in 892 excess deaths. With the intensity and frequency of UK heatwaves projected to increase, and summer temperatures predicted to be 5 degrees C hotter by 2070, urgent action is needed to prepare for, and adapt to, the changes now and to come. Yet it remains unclear what actions are needed and by whom. In response, a systematic literature review of UK heatwaves peer reviewed publications, inclusive of keyword criteria (total papers returned = 183), was conducted to understand what lessons have been learnt and what needs to happen next. Our research shows that heatwaves remain largely an invisible risk in the UK. Communication over what UK residents should do, the support needed to make changes, and their capacity to enact those changes, is often lacking. In turn, there is an inherent bias where research focuses too narrowly on the health and building sectors over other critical sectors, such as agriculture. An increased amount of action and leadership is therefore necessary from the UK government to address this.