The relationship between blood alcohol concentration (BAC), age, and crash risk
The relationship between blood alcohol concentration (BAC), age, and crash risk
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jsr.2008.02.030
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发表时间：
2008-01-01
影响因子：
4.1
通讯作者：
Romano, Eduardo
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Peck, Raymond C.;Gebers, Michael A.;Romano, Eduardo
问题：年龄（年轻和驾驶经验不足）和酒精作为交通事故原因的主要风险因素的作用已经被过去50年的许多研究所确定。不太确定的是这两个变量如何相互关联，以影响崩溃风险。一些调查假设了一种互动或协同效应，即经验较少且更倾向于冒险的年轻驾驶员在血液酒精浓度较低时比老年驾驶员受到更大的不利影响。这一假设的证据是混合的。这一问题的解决对于制定针对年轻驾驶员碰撞问题的对策具有重要意义。方法：使用比原始分析更灵敏的方法对先前在长滩和劳德代尔堡收集的病例对照数据进行重新分析，以检测相互作用效应。条件Logistic回归分析发现年龄× BAC交互作用非常显著（P
Problem: The role of age (youth and driving inexperience) and alcohol as major risk factors in traffic crash causation has been firmly established by numerous studies over the past 50 years. Less well established is how the two variables interrelate to influence crash risk. Some investigations have hypothesized an interactive or synergistic effect in which young drivers with less experience and a greater tendency to take risks are more adversely affected at lower blood alcohol concentrations (BACs) than are older drivers. The evidence for this hypothesis is mixed. Resolution of this issue has important implication for developing countermeasures directed at the young driver crash problem. Method: Case control data previously collected in Long Beach and Fort Lauderdale were reanalyzed using a more sensitive method for detecting interaction effects than used in the original analysis. A conditional logistic regression analyses found a highly significant age x BAC interaction (P