Coronary heart disease and stroke disease burden attributable to fruit and vegetable intake in Japan: projected DALYS to 2060
Coronary heart disease and stroke disease burden attributable to fruit and vegetable intake in Japan: projected DALYS to 2060
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DOI：
10.1186/s12889-019-7047-z
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发表时间：
2019-06-07
影响因子：
4.5
通讯作者：
Mori, Rintaro
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Mo, Xiuting;Gai, Ruoyan Tobe;Mori, Rintaro
背景食用水果和蔬菜被认为是预防心脑血管疾病(CVD)的一种保护作用。本研究旨在预测到2060年日本在水果和蔬菜摄入量增加的不同情景下心血管疾病负担的减少。方法2015年按性别和年龄计算人口归因分数(PAF)。该预测考虑了2015年、2030年、2045年和2060年的五种情况：1)摄入量不变的基线；2)水果摄入量适度增加(每天额外50克或1/2份)；3)水果摄入量高度增加(每天额外100克或1份)；4)蔬菜摄入量适度增加(每天额外70克或1份)；以及5)蔬菜摄入量大幅增加(每天额外140克或2份)。对每种情况下心血管疾病潜在可预防的伤残调整寿命年(DALY)进行了估算。结果在所有年龄段中，男性每日蔬菜摄入量(292.7g/d>；279.3g/d)高于女性(279.3g/d)，但水果日摄入量(99.3g/d)低于女性
BackgroundFruit and vegetable consumption was considered a protective effect against cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (CVDs). This study aimed to project the reduction in the CVD burden under different scenarios of increased fruit and vegetable intake in Japan by 2060.MethodsPopulation attributable fractions (PAF) were calculated by gender and age in 2015. The projection considered five scenarios for 2015, 2030, 2045, and 2060: 1) a baseline of no changes in intake; 2) a moderate increase in fruit intake (extra 50g/day or 1/2 serving); 3) an high increase in fruit intake (extra 100g/day or 1 serving); 4) a moderate increase in vegetable intake (extra 70g/day or 1 serving); and 5) an high increase in vegetable intake (extra 140g/day or 2 servings). Potentially preventable disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for CVDs were estimated for each scenario. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to calculate the 95% confidence intervals of the estimates.ResultsAcross all age groups, men had a higher daily vegetable intake than women (292.7g/d>279.3g/d) but a lower daily fruit intake (99.3g/d