Meaningful characterisation of perturbative theoretical uncertainties
Meaningful characterisation of perturbative theoretical uncertainties
复制标题
微扰理论不确定性的有意义的表征
DOI:
10.1007/jhep09(2011)039
复制
发表时间:
2011
影响因子:
5.4
通讯作者:
Nicolas Houdeau
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Cacciari;Nicolas Houdeau
We consider the problem of assigning a meaningful degree of belief to uncertainty estimates of perturbative series. We analyse the assumptions which are implicit in the conventional estimates made using renormalisation scale variations. We then formulate a Bayesian model that, given equivalent initial hypotheses, allows one to characterise a perturbative theoretical uncertainty in a rigorous way in terms of a credibility interval for the remainder of the series. We compare its outcome to the conventional uncertainty estimates in the simple case of the calculation of QCD corrections to the e+e− → hadrons process. We find comparable results, but with important conceptual differences. This work represents a first step in the direction of a more comprehensive and rigorous handling of theoretical uncertainties in perturbative calculations used in high energy phenomenology.