Conflict versus Disaster-induced Displacement: Similar or Distinct Implications for Security?
Conflict versus Disaster-induced Displacement: Similar or Distinct Implications for Security?
复制标题
DOI：
10.1080/13698249.2021.1963586
复制
发表时间：
2021-09
期刊：
影响因子：
1.1
通讯作者：
Heidrun Bohnet;F. Cottier;S. Hug
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Heidrun Bohnet;F. Cottier;S. Hug
最近的研究发现了冲突导致的流离失所与暴力之间存在联系的证据。然而，流离失所也是由自然灾害造成的，而自然灾害对安全的影响到目前为止还没有得到多少注意。利用非洲洪涝灾害和强迫移民的空间数据，研究自然灾害导致的移民对社会冲突的影响。我们表明，灾害导致的流离失所不同于冲突导致的流离失所，并提出了不同的安全问题。我们还考虑同时受到冲突和灾害引起的移徙影响的地区是否特别容易发生冲突。结果表明，不存在这种放大效应。
ABSTRACT Recent research has found evidence for a linkage between conflict induced-displacement and violence. Yet, displacement is also caused by natural disasters, whose implications for security have until now not received much attention. Drawing on spatial data on flood-induced disasters and forced migration in Africa, we investigate the impact of migration caused by natural disasters on social conflict. We show that disaster-induced displacement differs from conflict-induced displacement and raises distinct security implications. We also consider if areas simultaneously affected by conflict and disaster-induced migration are particularly at risk of conflict. The results suggest that there is no such amplifying effect.