Extreme Weather and Climate Change Understanding the Link, Managing the Risk
Extreme Weather and Climate Change Understanding the Link, Managing the Risk
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极端天气和气候变化了解联系、管理风险
DOI：
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发表时间：
2011
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
J. Gulledge
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
D. Huber;J. Gulledge
全球数以千计的破纪录天气事件支持了热浪、强降水、干旱和野火增加的长期趋势。观察到的趋势，对气候系统的理论理解和数值模拟的结合表明，全球变暖正在增加这些类型事件的风险。关于单个事件是否由气候变化“引起”的争论是不合逻辑的，但单个事件提供了关于社会对气候变化的脆弱性的重要教训。减少未来极端天气的风险需要减少温室气体排放，并适应已经不可避免的变化。
Thousands of record-breaking weather events worldwide bolster long-term trends of increasing heat waves, heavy precipitation, droughts and wildfires. A combination of observed trends, theoretical understanding of the climate system, and numerical modeling demonstrates that global warming is increasing the risk of these types of events today. Debates about whether single events are “caused” by climate change are illogical, but individual events offer important lessons about society’s vulnerabilities to climate change. Reducing the future risk of extreme weather requires reducing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to changes that are already unavoidable.