The NAIRU in Theory and Practice

The NAIRU in Theory and Practice
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NAIRU 的理论与实践

DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.319703
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发表时间:
2002
期刊:
Macroeconomics eJournal
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
N. Mankiw
N. Mankiw
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Laurence Ball;N. Mankiw

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本文讨论 NAIRU——非加速通货膨胀失业率。它首先考虑了 NAIRU 概念在商业周期理论中的作用,认为这个概念隐含在任何货币政策影响通货膨胀和失业的模型中。然而,NAIRU 的确切值很难测量,部分原因是它随着时间的推移而变化。然后本文讨论了 NAIRU 为何发生变化,特别是 20 世纪 90 年代美国的 NAIRU 为何下降。最有希望的假设是 NAIRU 的下降归因于生产率增长的加速。
This paper discusses the NAIRU -- the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment. It first considers the role of the NAIRU concept in business cycle theory, arguing that this concept is implicit in any model in which monetary policy influences both inflation and unemployment. The exact value of the NAIRU is hard to measure, however, in part because it changes over time. The paper then discusses why the NAIRU changes and, in particular, why it fell in the United States during the 1990s. The most promising hypothesis is that the decline in the NAIRU is attributable to the acceleration in productivity growth.
DOI: --
发表时间: 1987
期刊: The American Economic Review
影响因子: --
作者:
O. Blanchard;N. Kiyotaki
通讯作者: O. Blanchard;N. Kiyotaki