Household Surveys in Crisis
Household Surveys in Crisis
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DOI：
10.1257/jep.29.4.199
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发表时间：
2015-09-01
影响因子：
8.4
通讯作者：
Sullivan, James X.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Meyer, Bruce D.;Mok, Wallace K. C.;Sullivan, James X.
住户调查是上个世纪社会科学研究的主要创新之一，但由于受访者合作减少，其准确性受到威胁。虽然近几十年来调查质量的许多指标稳步下降，但文献主要强调不答复率的上升，而不是问题的其他可能更重要的方面。我们将问题分为无应答率、插补率和测量误差率的上升，记录了过去三十年来这些对调查质量的威胁的上升。在评估调查中由于这些问题而产生的偏差时，一个根本问题是缺乏一个基准或衡量真实性的标准，这使我们把重点放在政府转移报告的准确性上。我们提供的证据来自转移报告的综合措施以及相关的微观数据。我们讨论了误报的程序接收和有条件的金额收到的好处的相对重要性，以及下降的合作和调查错误的一些原因。最后，我们讨论了减少这一问题的影响的方法，包括更多地使用行政数据以及将行政数据和调查数据相结合的可能性。
Household surveys, one of the main innovations in social science research of the last century, are threatened by declining accuracy due to reduced cooperation of respondents. While many indicators of survey quality have steadily declined in recent decades, the literature has largely emphasized rising nonresponse rates rather than other potentially more important dimensions to the problem. We divide the problem into rising rates of nonresponse, imputation, and measurement error, documenting the rise in each of these threats to survey quality over the past three decades. A fundamental problem in assessing biases due to these problems in surveys is the lack of a benchmark or measure of truth, leading us to focus on the accuracy of the reporting of government transfers. We provide evidence from aggregate measures of transfer reporting as well as linked microdata. We discuss the relative importance of misreporting of program receipt and conditional amounts of benefits received, as well as some of the conjectured reasons for declining cooperation and for survey errors. We end by discussing ways to reduce the impact of the problem including the increased use of administrative data and the possibilities for combining administrative and survey data.