Making a Practical Policy Proposal for Polling Place Assignment Using Voting Simulation Tool
Making a Practical Policy Proposal for Polling Place Assignment Using Voting Simulation Tool
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使用投票模拟工具为投票地点分配制定实用的政策建议
DOI：
10.9746/jcmsi.6.124
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Kenta Konishi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
T. Murata;Kenta Konishi
尽管许多研究人员最近对社会模拟感兴趣，但他们的许多结果都只显示了在社会模拟中简单设置的抽象经验教训。这是可以理解的，因为复杂的设置将使他们的社交模拟工具难以理解和调整其参数。在具有抽象课程的简单设置和具有难以调整工具的困难设置之间存在两难选择。在这篇文章中，展示了如何使用社会模拟工具来为投票点分配提出政策建议。在作者以前的研究中，提出了一个在选举中为每个选民制定决策的模型。考虑在日本大阪府高津市改变投票点，以增加选民投票率，减少投票点的数量。还提出了一种利用真实选民投票率记录确定选举中区域投票参数的方法。利用这些区域投票参数，使用进化多目标优化(EMO)算法选择和分配每个区域的投票点。找到了几套解决办法，增加了选民投票率，减少了投票站的数量。在本文中，作者在咨询了目标城市选举委员会办公室后，展示了几个实际结果。为了切实利用社会模拟的结果，他们被建议显示当前投票分配和拟议投票分配之间的差异，以便宣布哪些人应该在不同的站点投票。他们亦应向选民示范如何支持那些在更换投票站后应前往更远投票站的选民。为了满足办公室的这些要求，他们使用我们的模型模拟了一个提供免费班车服务的案例。
Although a lot of researchers have interests to social simulations recently, many of their outcomes can show just abstract lessons over simple settings in their social simulations. It is understandable because complicate settings will make their social simulation tool difficult to understand and tune its parameters. There is a dilemma between simple settings with abstract lessons and difficult settings with difficult tool tuning. In this paper, it is shown that how social simulation tools can be used to make a policy proposal for polling place assignment. In the previous study of authors, a model was proposed for a decision making for each voter in an election. The change of the polling places was considered in a city, Takatsuki, Osaka Prefecture, Japan, to increase the voter turnout and to reduce the number of polling places. A method was also proposed to identify regional polling parameters in an election using real voter turnout records. With those regional polling parameters, selection and assignment of polling places to each region was done using an Evolutionary Multiobjective Optimization (EMO) algorith. Several sets of solutions were found that increase the voter turnouts and reduce the number of the polling places. In this paper, the authors show several practical results after consulting the office of the board of elections in the target city. In order to utilize outcomes of social simulations practically, they are advised that they should show the difference between the current voting assignment and the proposed one in order to announce those who should vote in a different station. They are also advised to show how to support those who should go to farther polling stations after the change of polling stations. To meet these requests from the office, they simulate a case with free shuttle bus service using our model.