‘Rational’ Theories of Voter Turnout: A Review

‘Rational’ Theories of Voter Turnout: A Review
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选民投票率的“理性”理论:回顾

DOI:
10.1111/j.1478-9299.2006.00034.x
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发表时间:
2006
影响因子:
1.9
通讯作者:
B. Geys
B. Geys
中科院分区:
法学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
B. Geys

文献摘要

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一个人去投票的决定和缺乏严格理性的论据之间的矛盾引起了许多学者的兴趣,也困扰了他们。本文综述了解决这一(不)投票悖论的各种理论贡献。我们对这些方法的评估是基于它们解释一些与选民投票率有关的“程式化事实”的能力。主要结论是,偏离唐斯模型的行为假设提供了更现实的模型,并导致了对个人投票决定的有希望的预测。将(社会)群体的作用,尤其是学习的作用结合起来,可以被视为理解个人投票决定的重要一步。
The paradox between an individual's decisions to head to the polls and the absence of strictly rational arguments for this action has intrigued – and troubled – many scholars. The present article surveys various theoretical contributions to resolve this paradox of (not) voting. We assess these approaches based on their ability to explain a number of ‘stylised facts’ with respect to voter turnout. The main conclusion is that straying away from the behavioural assumptions of the Downsian model provides more realistic models and leads to promising predictions as to the individual's decision to head to the polls. Incorporating the role of (social) groups and learning in particular can be regarded as important strides towards understanding the individual's decision to cast a vote.