Measuring diagnostic accuracy of statistical prediction rules

Measuring diagnostic accuracy of statistical prediction rules
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DOI:
10.1111/1467-9574.00153
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发表时间:
2001-03-01
影响因子:
1.5
通讯作者:
Hand, DJ
Hand, DJ
中科院分区:
数学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hand, DJ

文献摘要

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已经发展了许多不同的统计方法来预测患者的疾病类别。然而,为了对这些方法的结果有信心,需要对它们的性能进行评估。我们会检讨不同的表现量度,并描述与这些量度有关的情况。必须考虑到一些微妙之处,以确保所选择的度量与目标相匹配。给出的例子显示了对未来诊断性能的不同解释。
Many different statistical methods have been developed for predicting the disease classes of patients. However, in order to have confidence in the results of such methods, their performance needs to be assessed. Different performance measures are reviewed and the circumstances in which they are relevant are described. Subtleties exist which must be taken into account to ensure that the measure chosen matches the objectives. Examples are given showing different interpretations of future diagnostic performance.