C-LLAMA v1.0: traceable model for food, agriculture and land-use
C-LLAMA v1.0: traceable model for food, agriculture and land-use
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DOI：
10.5194/gmd-2021-169
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发表时间：
2021-07
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Thomas S. Ball;N. Vaughan;T. Powell;A. Lovett;T. Lenton
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文献类型：
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作者：
Thomas S. Ball;N. Vaughan;T. Powell;A. Lovett;T. Lenton
抽象的。我们提出了C-LLAMA 1.0（国家级农业土地可用性模型），这是一个全球粮食和农业系统的实证模型。基于FALAFEL（关联农业粮食生产、能源潜力和土地利用变化的通量评估）模型，C-LLAMA旨在解决对开放和透明的方法的需求，以模拟未来农业土地利用对饮食、作物产量和粮食系统效率等驱动因素的敏感性。C-LLAMA使用公开的FAOSTAT数据，对国家一级的饮食、粮食系统和农业效率以及土地使用进行线性预测，旨在了解发展中国家和发达国家粮食系统的各个方面。在本文中，我们描述了模型的结构和过程，并进行敏感性分析的关键组成部分。
Abstract. We present C-LLAMA 1.0 (Country-level Land Availability Model for Agriculture), a statistical-empirical model of the global food and agriculture system. Based on the FALAFEL (Flux Assessment of Linked Agricultural Food production, Energy potentials & Land-use change) model, C-LLAMA aims to address the need for an open and transparent approach to modelling the sensitivity of future agricultural land-use to drivers such as diet, crop yields and food-system efficiency. C-LLAMA uses publicly available FAOSTAT data to make linear projections of diet, food system and agricultural efficiencies, and land-use at a national level, aiming to capture aspects of food systems in both developing and developed nations. In this paper we describe the structure and processes within the model and perform sensitivity analyses of key components.