Long-Term Consequences of Vietnam-Era Conscription: Schooling, Experience, and Earnings

Long-Term Consequences of Vietnam-Era Conscription: Schooling, Experience, and Earnings
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DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.1015399
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发表时间:
2007-08
期刊:
Randomized Social Experiments eJournal
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
J. Angrist;Stacey H. Chen
J. Angrist;Stacey H. Chen
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
J. Angrist;Stacey H. Chen

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本文使用2000年人口普查的六分之一样本来研究越南时代兵役的长期影响。变量使用选秀彩票工具进行的工具估计显示,2000年退役后收入损失接近于零,而早期结果显示20世纪70年代和80年代白色退伍军人的收入损失巨大。这些估计还表明,受教育人数明显增加,这似乎可归因于越南时代的《退伍军人权利法案》。在2000年数据中观察到的净工资效应可以用中年人的经验分布的平坦化和《退伍军人权利法案》所产生的增加的学校教育的适度回归来解释。关于残疾影响的证据好坏参半,但似乎与越战时期服兵役对健康的长期影响不一致。
This paper uses the 2000 Census 1-in-6 sample to look at the long-term impact of Vietnam-era military service. Instrumental Variables estimates using draft-lottery instruments show post-service earnings losses close to zero in 2000, in contrast with earlier results showing substantial earnings losses for white veterans in the 1970s and 1980s. The estimates also point to a marked increase in schooling that appears to be attributable to the Vietnam-era GI Bill. The net wage effects observed in the 2000 data can be explained by a flattening of the experience profile in middle age and a modest return to the increased schooling generated by the GI Bill. Evidence on disability effects is mixed but seems inconsistent with a long-term effect of Vietnam-era military service on health.