WHAT COMES TO MIND
WHAT COMES TO MIND
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DOI：
10.1162/qjec.2010.125.4.1399
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发表时间：
2010-11-01
影响因子：
13.7
通讯作者：
Shleifer, Andrei
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gennaioli, Nicola;Shleifer, Andrei
我们提出了一个模型的直觉推理，称为“本地思维”，其中代理相结合的数据从外部世界与信息检索从内存中评估一个假设。在这个模型中，有选择的和有限的召回信息遵循一个版本的代表性启发式。该模型可以解释判断偏差的一些证据，包括合取和析取谬误，但也可以解释与保险需求相关的几个异常。
We present a model of intuitive inference, called "local thinking," in which an agent combines data received from the external world with information retrieved from memory to evaluate a hypothesis. In this model, selected and limited recall of information follows a version of the representativeness heuristic. The model can account for some of the evidence on judgment biases, including conjunction and disjunction fallacies, but also for several anomalies related to demand for insurance.