The El Nino Southern Oscillation and the historic malaria epidemics on the Indian subcontinent and Sri Lanka: An early warning system for future epidemics?
The El Nino Southern Oscillation and the historic malaria epidemics on the Indian subcontinent and Sri Lanka: An early warning system for future epidemics?
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DOI：
10.1046/j.1365-3156.1996.d01-7.x
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发表时间：
1996-02-01
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
vanderKaay, HJ
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bouma, MJ;vanderKaay, HJ
在使用残留杀虫剂之前，前英属印度的旁遮普省和塞永省反复发生的疟疾大流行分别与季风降雨过多和不足有关。在干旱的旁遮普，降雨促进了蚊子的繁殖，延长了蚊子病媒的寿命，在锡兰的潮湿地区，季风降雨减少，造成河流水位下降，创造了更有利的繁殖条件。季风降雨和流行性疟疾的周期性波动在这里解释有关厄尔尼诺南方涛动。在旁遮普，1868年至1943年疟疾流行显著相关（r=0.34，P
The recurrent great malaria epidemics which occurred in the Punjab province of former British India and Celyon before the introduction of residual insecticides have been related to excessive and failing monsoon rains respectively. In the arid Punjab, rainfall facilitated breeding and increased the lifespan of the mosquito vector and, in the wet part of Ceylon, failing monsoon rains caused rivers to poor, creating more favourable breeding conditions. The periodic fluctuations in monsoon rainfall and epidemic malaria are here explained in relation to the EL Nino Southern Oscillation. In the Punjab, epidemic malaria between 1868 and 1943 correlates significantly (r=0.34, P