Damage and casualties modelling as part of a vulnerability assessment for tsunami hazards: a case study from Aceh, Indonesia

Damage and casualties modelling as part of a vulnerability assessment for tsunami hazards: a case study from Aceh, Indonesia
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作为海啸灾害脆弱性评估一部分的损害和伤亡建模:印度尼西亚亚齐省的案例研究

DOI:
10.1111/j.1753-318x.2009.01027.x
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发表时间:
2009
影响因子:
4.1
通讯作者:
A. Kurniawan
A. Kurniawan
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Marchand;J. Buurman;A. Pribadi;A. Kurniawan

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2004 年 12 月印度洋海啸灾难后,减少海啸脆弱性已成为一个主要问题。对可能的减灾措施进行事前(事件发生前)评估需要深入了解潜在风险。作为针对印度尼西亚亚齐省和尼亚斯省海防措施研究的一部分,我们开发了一个模型,能够量化海啸易发沿海地区的潜在损害和人员伤亡。该模型能够相当准确地再现 2004 年班达亚齐遭受的损失。由于该模型基于 GIS,因此还显示了损坏的空间分布。可以准备地图来显示各种海啸事件情景的高影响和低影响区域。这些信息对于缓解措施的成本效益分析非常有用,例如海防措施、空间规划和疏散程序。
Vulnerability reduction to tsunamis has become a major issue after the December 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami disaster. An ex ante (before the event) evaluation of possible disaster reduction measures requires insight into the potential risks. As part of a study focusing on sea defence measures for Aceh and Nias provinces in Indonesia, we have developed a model that is capable of quantifying potential damages and casualties for tsunami‐prone coastal areas. The model was able to reproduce the damage of 2004 sustained in Banda Aceh quite accurately. Because it is GIS based, the model also shows the spatial distribution of damage. Maps can be prepared that show high‐ and low‐impact areas for various tsunami event scenarios. This information is very useful for cost–benefit analysis of mitigation measures, such as sea defence measures, spatial planning and evacuation procedures.
DOI: --
发表时间: 2003
期刊: Natural Hazards No.29
影响因子: --
作者:
Hiroaki Sato;Takuji Sugimoto;Kazuo Yoshida;HIROAKI SATO;T.SUGIMOTO
通讯作者: T.SUGIMOTO