Systems-of-systems analysis of national infrastructure

Systems-of-systems analysis of national infrastructure
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国家基础设施的系统系统分析

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发表时间:
2013
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通讯作者:
R. Nicholls
R. Nicholls
中科院分区:
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作者:
J. Hall;J. Henriques;A. Hickford;R. Nicholls

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在拥有大量老化基础设施资产的国家,国家基础设施与快速工业化的经济体一样,都是一个优先事项。人们越来越注意到基础设施系统之间日益相互依赖所带来的风险和机会。然而,目前还没有一种方法能够对相互依赖的基础设施系统进行长期规划和未来绩效评估。本文提出了一种长期的、跨部门的方法来分析和规划国家基础设施系统的绩效。这种方法需要为基础设施提供制定可靠的长期愿景,并在一系列可能的未来中分析系统性能。一个初步版本的系统的系统分析为英国提供了一个例子。目前正在实施一种全面的、基于模型的方法。
National infrastructure is as much a priority in countries with a large stock of ageing infrastructural assets as it is for rapidly industrialising economies. Increasing attention is being paid to the risk and opportunities that the growing interdependence between infrastructural systems brings. However, there is no current methodology to enable long-term planning and future performance assessment of interdependent infrastructural systems. This paper makes the case for a long-term, cross-sectoral approach to analysing and planning the performance of national infrastructure systems. Such an approach is required to develop credible long-term visions for infrastructure provision and to analyse system performance across a range of possible futures. A preliminary version of a system-of-systems analysis for the UK is presented as an example. The implementation of a comprehensive, model-based approach is currently well under way.