Future changes of freshwater needs in European power plants

Future changes of freshwater needs in European power plants
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欧洲发电厂淡水需求的未来变化

DOI:
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发表时间:
2011
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
I. Bärlund
I. Bärlund
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
M. Flörke;E. Teichert;I. Bärlund

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目的-本研究的目的是分析未来的变化,淡水需求在电力生产部门,并确定热点未来的冷却水需求可能无法fulfilled.Design/方法/方式-为了解决本研究的目标,一个场景和模拟方法被选中,以估计水的可用性和水的使用在欧洲到2050年。选择了两种情景,以涵盖广泛的与水有关的驱动力,包括人口,国内生产总值,电力生产,技术和结构变化以及气候变化的未来发展。结果-根据情景,电力生产中的取水量将增加68%或减少33%在2000年和2050年之间。与此同时,由于欧洲南部和东南部以及爱尔兰和英国的气候变化,低流量(Q90)下的水资源可用性将下降。特别是在这些地区,确定了缺水的热点地区。
Purpose – The aim of this study is to analyze future changes of freshwater needs in the electricity production sector and to identify hotspots where future cooling water needs may not be fulfilled.Design/methodology/approach – To address the goals of this study, a scenario and simulation approach was selected to estimate water availability and water uses in Europe up to 2050. Two SCENES scenarios were selected to cover a wide range of water‐related driving forces including future developments in population, GDP, electricity production, technological and structural changes, as well as climate change.Findings – Depending on the scenario, water withdrawals in the electricity production would increase by 68 percent or decrease by 33 percent between 2000 and 2050. At the same time, water availability at low flow (Q90) would decrease because of climate change in southern and south‐eastern parts of Europe as well as in Ireland and the UK. Especially in these regions hotspots were identified where water is scarce...
模拟黑海和地中海河流流域的水资源及其对区域质量变化的影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.jog.2011.11.011
发表时间: 2011
影响因子: 2.3
作者:
aus der Beek T;Menzel L;Rietbroek R;Fegnolio-Marc L;Grayek S;Becker M;Kusche J;Stanev EV
通讯作者: Stanev EV