Analysis of rural residential commercial energy consumption in China
Analysis of rural residential commercial energy consumption in China
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DOI：
10.1016/j.energy.2013.01.039
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发表时间：
2013-04
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
Ming Zhang;Fangyan Guo
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Ming Zhang;Fangyan Guo
本文采用对数平均迪维西亚指数（Log Mean Divisia Index，LMDI）方法对中国农村住宅商业能源消费变化的影响因素进行了分析。在此基础上，构建了能源消费与农户人均年纯收入脱钩的脱钩指数，用以评价能源消费与农户人均年纯收入脱钩的进展情况。结果表明：（1）1991-2010年，中国农村居民生活用能年均增长2.15%，但农村居民人均生活用能由1991年的75.96 kgtce增加到2010年的143.74 kgtce。(2)收入效应是影响我国农村居民能源消费增长的关键因素，能源强度效应是降低农村居民能源消费的主导因素。(3)1995-1996、2001-2005和2007-2008年期间表现出再耦合效应，1992-1993、1994-1995、1996-1998和1999-2000年期间表现出较强的脱钩效应，其他时间段表现出较弱的脱钩效应。
The objective of this paper is to identify the factors that contribute to the change in rural residential commercial energy consumption in China by utilizing the LMDI (Log Mean Divisia Index) method. Then the decoupling index is developed based on those factors to evaluate the progress in decoupling energy consumption from per capita annual net income of rural households. The results show that: (1) Rural residential commercial energy consumption in China grew at a yearly rate of 2.15% over the period 1991–2010; however, the rural residential commercial energy consumption per capita increased from 75.96 in 1991 to 143.74 kgtce in 2010. (2) The income effect is the critical factor in the growth of rural residential energy consumption in China and the energy intensity effect plays the dominant role in decreasing rural energy consumption. (3) The period 1995–1996, 2001–2005 and 2007–2008 represents a re-coupling effect, the period 1992–1993, 1994–1995, 1996–1998 and 1999–2000 indicates strong decoupling effect, while the other time interval shows weak decoupling effect.