COVID-19: The impact of social distancing policies, cross-country analysis.

COVID-19: The impact of social distancing policies, cross-country analysis.
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DOI:
10.1007/s41885-020-00076-x
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发表时间:
2021
期刊:
Economics of disasters and climate change
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Lorca M
Lorca M
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Castex G;Dechter E;Lorca M

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在2019冠状病毒病大流行开始时,许多国家采取了一系列非药物干预措施。虽然各国的政策相似,但各国的特点却有很大差异。我们使用社会经济、环境和地理以及卫生系统维度的跨国差异来检验这些政策的有效性。规定关闭学校和工作场所的政策的效力随着人口密度、国家面积、就业率和老年人在人口中的比例而下降;并随着人均国内生产总值和卫生支出的增加而增加。跨国人员流动数据加强了其中一些结果。我们认为,这些发现可以通过对风险感知和资源约束的行为反应来解释。在感知风险较低的社区,自愿保持社交距离的做法可能不那么普遍,这些社区与更好地获得医疗保健和老年人比例较小有关。更高的人口密度、更大的地理区域和更高的就业率可能需要更多的资源来确保遵守封锁政策。
At the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic a large number of countries introduced a range of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Whereas the policies are similar across countries, country characteristics vary substantially. We examine the effectiveness of such policies using a cross-country variation in socio-economic, environmental and geographic, and health system dimensions. The effectiveness of policies that prescribe closures of schools and workplaces is declining with population density, country surface area, employment rate and proportion of elderly in the population; and increasing with GDP per capita and health expenditure. Cross-country human mobility data reinforce some of these results. We argue that the findings can be explained by behavioural response to risk perceptions and resource constraints. Voluntary practice of social distancing might be less prevalent in communities with lower perceived risk, associated with better access to health care and smaller proportion of elderly population. Higher population density, larger geographical area, and higher employment rate may require more resources to ensure compliance with lockdown policies.