Chinese Residential Electrovalence Policy Dynamic Decision Model Based on System Dynamics
Chinese Residential Electrovalence Policy Dynamic Decision Model Based on System Dynamics
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发表时间：
2013
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通讯作者：
Luo Bi
中科院分区：
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作者：
Luo Bi
居民电价是销售电价中最特殊的项目之一，传统的以成本和市场为基础的定价理论受到了来自两个主要方面的挑战：一是用户分散造成的供电成本过高，二是供电行业自然垄断造成的市场失灵。首先分析了影响居民电价的主要因素，然后分析了影响居民电价的主要因素，最后分析了影响居民电价的主要因素。基于系统动力学，利用仿真软件建立了居民电价动态仿真模型，在此基础上，从居民承受力、平均销售电价和替代能源等角度对居民电价政策进行了仿真，并结合仿真结果，提出了有针对性的建议。
Residential electrovalence is one of the most special items of sales price.The traditional pricing theory which is based on cost and market had met the challenge from two main aspects.The first one is high cost of power supply which is generated by users dispersed.The second one is market failure which is caused by natural monopoly of power supply industry,Firstly,the main influence factors of residential electrovalence is analyzed.Then,based on system dynamics,dynamic simulation model of residential electrovalence is established,by simulation software.On this basis,simulation of residential electrovalence policy is operated from the perspectives of residents' tolerance,average sales price and alternative energy.Finally,combined with the results,some targeted suggestions are given.