Debates about export pipelines from the post-Soviet region: Opinion leaders and advocacy coalitions
Debates about export pipelines from the post-Soviet region: Opinion leaders and advocacy coalitions
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.exis.2021.100994
复制
发表时间：
2021-11-29
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Pleines, Heiko
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Heinrich, Andreas;Pleines, Heiko
基于对5,500多篇媒体文章的内容分析，本文分析了五个后苏联国家（即阿塞拜疆，哈萨克斯坦，俄罗斯，土库曼斯坦和乌克兰）关于出口管道的辩论，重点关注决定性管道决策的时间段。分析涵盖参与这些辩论的整个政策界，确定意见领袖、不同声音和相关分歧。它表明，即使在专制政权中，也有广泛的行为者群体参与管道辩论，不仅有统治精英，还有外国国家和公司的代表以及国内外专家发挥着重要作用。在大多数情况下，关于管道选择的广泛共识似乎是真实的，而不是政治压力的结果。这一共识侧重于狭隘地考虑管道项目的直接商业和政治利益，在很大程度上忽视了更广泛的社会和环境影响。
Based on a content analysis of over 5,500 media articles, this contribution analyses debates about export pipelines in five post-Soviet countries, namely Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Russia, Turkmenistan and Ukraine, focusing on time periods of decisive pipeline decisions. The analysis covers the entirety of the policy communities engaging in these debates, identifying opinion leaders, dissenting voices and relevant cleavages. It shows that even in authoritarian regimes broad groups of actors are involved in pipeline debates, with not just the ruling elites, but also representatives of foreign states and companies as well as domestic and foreign experts playing prominent roles. In most cases, a broad consensus about pipeline choices seems to be genuine and not the result of political pressure. This consensus focuses on narrow considerations of direct commercial and political gains from pipeline projects, largely ignoring broader societal and environmental impacts.