A dynamic model for predicting e flowering date developed using an endodormancy break model and a flower bud development model in Japanese pear
A dynamic model for predicting e flowering date developed using an endodormancy break model and a flower bud development model in Japanese pear
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使用日本梨的休眠中断模型和花芽发育模型开发的预测开花日期的动态模型
DOI：
10.2480/agrmet.52.897
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发表时间：
1997
影响因子：
1.3
通讯作者：
H. Honjo
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
T. Sugiura;H. Honjo
在前期试验的基础上，建立了梨树开花期的动态预报模型，该模型由两个模型组成：内气味破裂模型和花芽发育模型。利用日本一些地区田间的花期和温度数据对模型进行了修正。根据新的动态模型，只需一组参数，就可以准确地估计出这些地区某些年份的开花期。估计的均方根误差小于2天。
A dynamic model to predict the flowering date of the Japanese pear (Pyrus pyrifolia Nakai), was developed using two models based on preparatory experiments: an endodormancy break model and a flower bud development model. The model was modified using data of the flowering date and temperature obtained from fields in a few regions in Japan. The flowering date in these regions for some years could be estimated accurately from the new dynamic model and only one set of parameters. The root mean square errors in the estimation is less than 2 days.