Classifying climate change perceptions of bean breeders in Santander-Colombia
Classifying climate change perceptions of bean breeders in Santander-Colombia
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DOI：
10.1080/17565529.2020.1848782
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发表时间：
2021-01
影响因子：
4.3
通讯作者：
Hernan Botero;A. Barnes;Lisset Pérez;David Rios;J. Ramirez-Villegas
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Hernan Botero;A. Barnes;Lisset Pérez;David Rios;J. Ramirez-Villegas
农民对气候变化的认识推动了对适应气候的豆类的自愿接受。确定这些看法并了解其决定因素有助于公共机构和种子供应商设计量身定制的参与战略，以最大限度地提高吸收率。我们在哥伦比亚的农业社区之间的气候变化的看法进行了第一次分类。一个潜在的类分析（LCA）的调查，旨在捕捉566豆农民在哥伦比亚桑坦德省的气候变化的看法。一个多项逻辑模型估计，以确定气候变化的看法背后的驱动因素。海拔较低、远离城市中心的农民往往更关心气候变化的未来经济后果。这些农民还往往寻求气候信息，以便进行生产活动。因此，旨在最大限度地吸收新的抗旱豆类品种的战略应侧重于这些农民，因为他们似乎更容易接受这些品种。此外，载有关于评估不确定性和减轻极端天气事件的某些严重影响的管理备选办法的信息的参与战略将促进更多的采用。
ABSTRACT Voluntary uptake of climate-adapted beans is driven by farmers’ climate change perceptions. Identifying these perceptions and understanding their determinants help public agencies and seed suppliers design tailored engagement strategies to maximize uptake. We perform the first classification of climate change perceptions among farming communities in Colombia. A latent class analysis (LCA) is applied to a survey designed to capture the climate change perceptions of 566 bean farmers in the Colombian department of Santander. A Multinomial Logistic Model is estimated to determine the drivers behind the climate change perceptions identified. Farmers located at lower elevations and who are further away from their urban centres tend to be more concerned about the future economic consequences of climate change. These farmers also tend to seek climatic information for making productive activities. Accordingly, strategies aimed at maximizing the uptake of new drought-resistant bean varieties should focus on these farmers as they seem to be more receptive to uptake them. Moreover, engagement strategies containing information on management alternatives to appraise uncertainties and mitigate some of the severe effects of extreme weather events will generate increased uptake.