Killing death spiral softly with a small connection charge
Killing death spiral softly with a small connection charge
复制标题
只需少量连接费用即可轻松杀死死亡螺旋
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2017
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
L. Tong
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
T. Sun;L. Tong
死亡螺旋假说指出了一种可能性，即随着电表后可再生能源的日益整合，受监管的公用事业公司的收入下降，这迫使公用事业公司提高电价以保持收入充足。这反过来又促使更多的消费者采用可再生能源技术，这进一步侵蚀了公用事业的财务状况。我们分析了一个受监管的公用事业谁设置的零售电价和价格弹性的客户，其决定采用可再生能源技术的零售电价和技术的成本的影响之间的相互作用。我们建立了死亡螺旋的存在和可再生技术的稳定扩散的条件。我们特别表明，线性关税总是引起死亡螺旋时，公用事业的固定运营成本上升超过一定的阈值。对于两部分的连接和容量收费的关税，拉姆齐定价，优化短视的社会福利的收入充足性约束诱导一个稳定的均衡。然而，拉姆齐定价以高昂的连接费用抑制了可再生能源的采用。相比之下，两部分电价加上少量的连接费会导致稳定的采用过程，可再生能源的采用水平更高，长期社会福利更大。市场数据用于说明各种太阳能采用情况。
The death spiral hypothesis points to the possibility that, with increasing integration of behind-the-meter renewables, the revenue of a regulated utility declines, which forces the utility to increase the price of electricity to maintain revenue adequacy. This in turn drives more consumers to adopt renewable technology, which further erodes the financial standing of the utility. We analyze the interactions between a regulated utility who sets the retail tariff and its price-elastic customers whose decisions to adopt renewable technology are influenced by the retail tariff and the cost of the technology. We establish conditions for the existence of death spiral and the stable diffusion of renewable technologies. We show in particular that linear tariffs always induce death spiral when the fixed operating cost of the utility rises beyond a certain threshold. For two-part tariffs with connection and volumetric charges, the Ramsey pricing that optimizes myopically social welfare subject to the revenue adequacy constraint induces a stable equilibrium. The Ramsey pricing, however, inhibits renewable adoption with a high connection charge. In contrast, a two-part tariff with a small connection charge results in a stable adoption process with a higher level of renewable adoption and greater long-term social welfare. Market data are used to illustrate various solar adoption scenarios.