Uncertainty, Doubts, and Delays: Economic Circumstances and Childbearing Expectations Among Emerging Adults
Uncertainty, Doubts, and Delays: Economic Circumstances and Childbearing Expectations Among Emerging Adults
复制标题
DOI：
10.1007/s10834-017-9548-1
复制
发表时间：
2018-03-01
影响因子：
2.4
通讯作者：
Geist, Claudia
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Brauner-Otto, Sarah R.;Geist, Claudia
生育或生育预期越来越被认为是一个重要的研究领域，至少部分原因是预期可以帮助我们理解全球范围内关注的家庭问题，如意外怀孕、低生育率和晚育。虽然很多研究都集中在期望和行为之间的联系上，但这项研究通过询问这些期望最初是如何形成的来扩展文献。具体来说，我们探讨了一个人的经济背景是如何与预期相关的。本文通过关注年轻人（18-27岁的男性和女性）为人父母期望的两个维度，进一步扩展了文献。利用2005年、2007年、2009年和2011年的收入动态小组研究（PSID）成年过渡期（TA）样本，我们考虑了年轻人是否希望在未来生孩子，以及那些希望生孩子的人，他们希望什么时候生孩子。研究结果支持了（主观和客观）经济环境与生育预期之间关系的财务紧张理论。收入较低、受教育程度较低、更担心未来就业前景的女性和男性更不确定是否要孩子。在那些想要孩子的人中，那些受教育程度更高、有更多烦恼的人希望在晚年生孩子。进一步的分析表明，种族和性别决定了这些关系。
Fertility, or childbearing, expectations have been increasingly identified as an important area of research, at least in part because expectations may help us to understand family issues of concern across the globe such as unintended pregnancies, low fertility, and delayed childbearing. While much research has focused on the link between expectations and behavior, this study extends the literature by asking how those expectations were shaped initially. Specifically, we explore how one's economic context is related to expectations. This paper further extends the literature by focusing on two dimensions of the parenthood expectations of young people (men and women aged 18-27). Using the 2005, 2007, 2009, and 2011 waves of the Panel Studies of Income Dynamics (PSID) Transition to Adulthood (TA) sample, we considered whether young people expected to have children in the future and, for those who did, when they expected to do so. The results support financial-strain theories of the relationship between (subjective and objective) economic circumstances and childbearing expectations. Women and men with lower earnings, less education, and more worries about their future job prospects are more uncertain whether they will have children. Of those who expect to have children, those with more education and more worries expect to do so later in life. Further analyses reveal that race and gender condition these relationships.