Building on open economy politics to understand the stalled EU-India trade negotiations
Building on open economy politics to understand the stalled EU-India trade negotiations
复制标题
以开放经济政治为基础来理解陷入僵局的欧盟-印度贸易谈判
DOI：
10.1093/ia/iiab171
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发表时间：
2021
影响因子：
4.5
通讯作者：
Curran L
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Curran L
全球贸易治理的特点越来越多地表现为多边机构日益脆弱和倾向于双边谈判。关于这类谈判的文献主要侧重于成功的协定。关于不成功或陷入僵局的双边谈判的学术研究有限，尽管更好地了解这种结果可能为今后的谈判提供经验教训。本文提出了一个修改后的开放经济政治（OEP）框架，适应于“第二代”OEP分析有助于这种理解。我们的框架强调了贸易谈判中利益、制度和国际互动Trinity位一体之间的多向联系，同时在分析中加入了权力和思想的作用。我们利用修订后的框架来探讨欧盟-印度自由贸易协定（EUIFTA）谈判陷入僵局的原因，从而为谈判者寻求恢复谈判提供见解。基于在欧盟和印度进行的为期七年的45次半结构化访谈，我们研究了这些不同因素对谈判进展的影响。我们的研究结果表明，我们修订的OEP方法提供了一个多层次的和综合的框架，使我们能够更好地了解谈判结果。此外，我们的研究结果表明，新兴经济体和发达经济体之间的地缘政治（权力）转移和观念变化所导致的平衡转移将影响未来的贸易谈判。
Global trade governance is increasingly characterized by a growing fragility in multilateral institutions and a preference for bilateral negotiations. The literature on such negotiations focuses primarily on successful agreements. Academic research on unsuccessful or stalled bilateral talks is limited, although better understanding of such outcomes may provide lessons for future negotiations. This article contributes to such understanding by proposing a revised open economy politics (OEP) framework, adapted to ‘second generation’ OEP analysis. Our framework highlights the multidirectional linkages between the trinity of interests, institutions and international interactions within trade negotiations, while adding the role of power and ideas to the analysis. We leverage our revised framework to explore why the European Union–India Free Trade Agreement (EUIFTA) negotiations stalled, thus providing insights as negotiators seek to revive them. Drawing on 45 semi-structured interviews conducted over a seven-year period in the EU and India, we examine what impact these different factors had on the progress of talks. Our results suggest that our revised OEP approach provides a multi-layered and integrated framework which enables us to better understand negotiating outcomes. Furthermore, our findings suggest that the shifting balance between emerging economies and developed economies as a result of the geopolitical (power) shifts and ideational change will affect future trade negotiations.