The Impact of Electoral Context on the Electoral Effectiveness of District-Level Campaigning: Popularity Equilibrium and the Case of the 2015 British General Election

The Impact of Electoral Context on the Electoral Effectiveness of District-Level Campaigning: Popularity Equilibrium and the Case of the 2015 British General Election
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选举环境对区级竞选活动选举效果的影响:人气均衡与 2015 年英国大选案例

DOI:
10.1177/0032321718764800
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
影响因子:
3.1
通讯作者:
Fisher J
Fisher J
中科院分区:
法学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Fisher J

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尽管选举制度各不相同,但在地区一级开展竞选活动可以在许多国家产生选举结果。然而,效果可能并不一致。竞选活动不是在真空中进行的,与竞选活动本身无关的背景因素可能对其对选举的影响程度产生重大影响。2015年英国大选是一个特别有趣的例子,因为有一个关键的背景因素可能对政党竞选的有效性产生重大影响;自由民主党在选举中不受欢迎本文使用一个独特的新数据集,评估了国家和地区两级政党平衡对竞选有效性的背景影响。这是第一次大规模地尝试系统地评估政党声望对竞选效果的影响,并在国家和地区两级证明了背景影响对竞选活动的重要性。
Campaigning at the district level can deliver electoral payoffs in a range of countries despite variations in electoral systems. However, effects may not be consistent. Campaigns do not occur in a vacuum, and contextual factors, exogenous to the campaign activity itself, may have a significant effect on the level of their electoral impact. The 2015 General Election in Britain is a particularly interesting case as there was a key contextual factor which could impact significantly on the effectiveness of the parties’ campaigns; the electoral unpopularity of the Liberal Democrats. Using a unique new dataset, this article assesses the contextual impact of party equilibrium at both national and district levels on campaign effectiveness. It represents the first attempt on a large scale to systematically assess the impact of party popularity on campaign effectiveness and demonstrates at both national and district levels the importance of contextual effects on election campaigns.
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DOI: 10.1332/policypress/9781447306320.001.0001
发表时间: 2014
期刊: The Journal of Politics
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