Transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD): the TRIPOD Statement.
Transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD): the TRIPOD Statement.
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DOI：
10.1186/s12916-014-0241-z
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发表时间：
2015-01-06
期刊：
影响因子：
9.3
通讯作者：
Moons KG
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Collins GS;Reitsma JB;Altman DG;Moons KG
开发预测模型是为了帮助医疗保健提供者估计特定疾病或病症存在的概率或风险（诊断模型）或未来发生特定事件（预后模型）的概率或风险，从而为他们的决策提供信息。然而，大量证据表明预测模型研究的报告质量很差。只有完整、清晰地报告预测模型各个方面的信息，才能充分评估预测模型的偏差风险和潜在有用性。个人预后或诊断多变量预测模型透明报告 (TRIPOD) 倡议制定了一系列建议，用于报告开发、验证或更新预测模型的研究，无论是用于诊断还是预后目的。本文介绍了 TRIPOD 声明是如何制定的。基于文献综述创建了一份广泛的项目清单，经过基于网络的调查后进行了缩减，并在 2011 年 6 月与方法学家、医疗保健专业人员和期刊编辑举行的为期 3 天的会议上进行了修订。该清单在指导小组的几次会议以及与更广泛的 TRIPOD 贡献者群体的电子邮件讨论中得到了完善。由此产生的 TRIPOD 声明是一份包含 22 项的清单，被认为对于预测模型研究的透明报告至关重要。 TRIPOD 声明旨在提高预测模型研究报告的透明度，无论使用何种研究方法。 TRIPOD 声明最好与 TRIPOD 解释和阐述文件结合使用。为了帮助编辑过程和预测模型研究的读者，建议作者在提交的内容中包含完整的清单（也可在 www.tripod-statement.org 上获取）。编者注：为了鼓励传播 TRIPOD 声明，本文可在 Annals of Internal Medicine 网站 (www.annals.org) 上免费获取，并将发表在 BJOG、British Journal of Cancer、British Journal ofurgery、BMC Medicine、British Medical Journal、Circulation、Diabetic Medicine、European Journal of Clinical Investigation、European Urology 和 Journal of Clinical Epidemiology 上。作者共同拥有本文的版权。随附的解释和阐述文章仅可在 www.annals.org 上免费获取； 《内科医学年鉴》拥有该文章的版权。
Prediction models are developed to aid health care providers in estimating the probability or risk that a specific disease or condition is present (diagnostic models) or that a specific event will occur in the future (prognostic models), to inform their decision making. However, the overwhelming evidence shows that the quality of reporting of prediction model studies is poor. Only with full and clear reporting of information on all aspects of a prediction model can risk of bias and potential usefulness of prediction models be adequately assessed. The Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) Initiative developed a set of recommendations for the reporting of studies developing, validating, or updating a prediction model, whether for diagnostic or prognostic purposes. This article describes how the TRIPOD Statement was developed. An extensive list of items based on a review of the literature was created, which was reduced after a Web-based survey and revised during a 3-day meeting in June 2011 with methodologists, health care professionals, and journal editors. The list was refined during several meetings of the steering group and in e-mail discussions with the wider group of TRIPOD contributors. The resulting TRIPOD Statement is a checklist of 22 items, deemed essential for transparent reporting of a prediction model study. The TRIPOD Statement aims to improve the transparency of the reporting of a prediction model study regardless of the study methods used. The TRIPOD Statement is best used in conjunction with the TRIPOD explanation and elaboration document. To aid the editorial process and readers of prediction model studies, it is recommended that authors include a completed checklist in their submission (also available at www.tripod-statement.org). Editors’ note: In order to encourage dissemination of the TRIPOD Statement, this article is freely accessible on the Annals of Internal Medicine Web site (www.annals.org) and will be also published in BJOG, British Journal of Cancer, British Journal of Surgery, BMC Medicine, British Medical Journal, Circulation, Diabetic Medicine, European Journal of Clinical Investigation, European Urology, and Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. The authors jointly hold the copyright of this article. An accompanying Explanation and Elaboration article is freely available only on www.annals.org; Annals of Internal Medicine holds copyright for that article.